Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.707853 0.901934 1.119603 1.379094 1.677310 2.006716 2.395457
2025-08-31 0.434206 0.674670 0.978890 1.379499 1.880799 2.475708 3.223145
2025-09-07 0.294744 0.557684 0.929943 1.463462 2.177461 3.071068 4.244397
2025-09-14 0.196131 0.458279 0.873830 1.517790 2.431149 3.625421 5.249221
2025-09-21 0.125741 0.371695 0.810145 1.542262 2.636496 4.122397 6.202537
2025-09-28 0.073184 0.288359 0.726087 1.515563 2.757393 4.504601 7.016503
2025-10-05 0.045122 0.238813 0.684628 1.543803 2.952870 4.991635 7.983371
2025-10-12 0.025874 0.194942 0.639475 1.554625 3.116211 5.434735 8.900579
2025-10-19 0.011820 0.147928 0.570494 1.508690 3.180379 5.731145 9.618139
2025-10-26 0.004652 0.112808 0.514263 1.474073 3.254669 6.039666 10.356631
2025-11-02 0.001739 0.091525 0.484432 1.484643 3.401907 6.459908 11.263395
2025-11-09 0.000274 0.067078 0.432467 1.438437 3.443597 6.715555 11.934028
2025-11-16 0.000044 0.058964 0.430969 1.504698 3.694021 7.313082 13.134698
2025-11-23 NaN 0.046059 0.404462 1.509170 3.831417 7.736488 14.088732
2025-11-30 NaN 0.042439 0.413899 1.600575 4.135710 8.436953 15.474086
2025-12-07 NaN 0.036719 0.410536 1.659446 4.380715 9.047801 16.736493
2025-12-14 NaN 0.029726 0.395589 1.686033 4.563930 9.561821 17.861385
2025-12-21 NaN 0.021127 0.362383 1.657920 4.636580 9.893577 18.712617
2025-12-28 NaN 0.016904 0.351305 1.688102 4.825922 10.423844 19.878239
2026-01-04 NaN 0.012779 0.334907 1.699684 4.976594 10.891093 20.952438
2026-01-11 NaN 0.007895 0.300711 1.650859 4.997660 11.136334 21.682689
2026-01-18 NaN 0.004726 0.272665 1.614036 5.039727 11.416620 22.470936
2026-01-25 NaN 0.003209 0.260190 1.625296 5.185026 11.879139 23.554581